what adaptation means
Posted by deepali on July 17, 2008
I had a conversation recently with some colleagues about what adaptation means. The context was global warming, but it could easily be rising prices+inflation+tightening credit (I happen to not think these are all separate).
When it comes to climate change, the experts all talk about adaptation and mitigation. Adapting meant changing, and mitigating meant lessening. Nowadays, we talk about the two in the same sentence, because one will require the other. We can’t mitigate effects on the environment without adapting to major changes in our lifestyle.
So the bottom line - adaptation means hard change. It doesn’t mean biofuel or recycling. It means bikes and reusable packaging. It means giving up our dependence not just on oil, but on energy. It means moving from the suburbs to the city. It doesn’t mean canceling the cable, it means blackout days. Turning off piped water. Doubling the percentage of your income you spend on food.
This seems unduly pessimistic, but the early warnings are being seen already. Having to choose between heat and food doesn’t seem like something the average American worries about it. But it will. Maybe not in the next 10 years, but probably in the next 50-100. We’re way behind in the research for alternative fuels, and until we hit the tipping point in the changeover, we’ll be living hard times for a while. Of course, in a 100 years, most of us won’t be around anymore, but our kids will. And this is what we leave for them.
Life will get interesting in the next several years. Food prices might stabilize, but oil is not likely to. The area I live in is changing USDA hardiness zones, which is resulting in some interesting new biotica. Globally, we’re seeing tropical diseases in temperate zones, rising sea levels, the breakup of polar ice, and mass desertification of some of the most important agricultural areas in the world.
Of course, not everyone believes that climate change is something to worry about. Perhaps not. But the symptoms (even if they are of something else) are still there for us to see and address. The question is, how will we react?
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